APPA 5003: Statistical Estimation for Data Science and AI

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  • Course Type: Pathway | Breadth
  • Specialization: Foundations of Probability and Statistics
  • Instructor:Dr.Jem Corcoran,Associate Professor in Applied Mathematics
  • Prior knowledge needed:
    • Programming languages: Intro to R programming
    • Math: Calculus 1 and 2
    • Technical requirements:

Learning Outcomes

  • Identify characteristics of “good” estimators and be able to compare competing estimators.
  • Construct sound estimators using the techniques of maximum likelihood and method of moments estimation.
  • Construct and interpret confidence intervals for one and two population means, one and two population proportions, and a population variance.

Course Grading Policy

AssignmentPercentage of Grade
Week 1
Quiz: Recognizing Discrete Distributions4%
Quiz: Calculations with Continuous Distributions4%
Quiz: Probability, Expectation, and Variance4%
Quiz: Method of Moments Estimation4%
Programming Assignment: Point Estimation6.5%
Week 2
Quiz: Finding MLEs4%
Quiz: Invariance, Mean-Squared Error, and Efficiency4%
Programming Assignment: Maximum Likelihood Estimation6.5%
Week 3
Quiz: The Cramer-Rao Lower Bound4%
Quiz: Further Computations with MLEs4%
Programming Assignment: Large Sample Properties of MLEs6.5%
Week 4
Quiz: Confidence Intervals Involving the Normal Distribution4%
Quiz: Confidence Intervals for Differences Between Means4%
Programming Assignment: Normal Distribution Confidence Intervals6.5%
Week 5
Quiz: Confidence Intervals for Proportions and Variances4%
Quiz: Build Your Own Confidence Intervals4%
Programming Assignment: Confidence Intervals Unleashed6%
Final Exam
DTSA 5002 Statistical Inference for Estimation in Data Science Final Exam20%

Course Content

Duration: 7hours

In this module you will learn how to estimate parameters from a large population based only on information from a small sample. You will learn about desirable properties that can be used to help you to differentiate between good and bad estimators. We will review the concepts of expectation, variance, and covariance, and you will be introduced to a formal, yet intuitive, method of estimation known as the "method of moments".

Duration: 5 hours

In this module we will learn what a likelihood function is and the concept of maximum likelihood estimation. We will construct maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) for one and two parameter examples and functions of parameters using the invariance property of MLEs.

Duration: 5 hours

In this module we will explore large sample properties of maximum likelihood estimators including asymptotic unbiasedness and asymptotic normality. We will learn how to compute the “Cramér–Rao lower bound” which gives us a benchmark for the smallest possible variance for an unbiased estimator.

Duration: 7 hours

In this module we learn about the theory of “interval estimation”. We will learn the definition and correct interpretation of a confidence interval and how to construct one for the mean of an unseen population based on both large and small samples. We will look at the cases where the variance is known and unknown.

Duration: 4 hours

In this module, we will generalize the lessons of Module 4 so that we can develop confidence intervals for other quantities of interest beyond the distribution mean and for other distributions entirely. This module covers two sample confidence intervals in more depth, and confidence intervals for population variances and proportions. We will also learn how to develop confidence intervals for parameters of interest in non-normal distributions.

Duration: 2 hour

Final Exam Format: Proctored Exam

You will complete a proctored exam worth 20% of your grade made up of multiple choice and free response questions. You must attempt the final in order to earn a grade in the course.If you've upgraded to the for-credit version of this course, please make sure you review the additional for-credit materials in the Introductory module and anywhere else they may be found.

Notes

  • Cross-listed Courses: Coursesthat are offered under two or more programs. Considered equivalent when evaluating progress toward degree requirements. You may not earn credit for more than one version of a cross-listed course.
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